If the first semi-final prediction felt hard - and I surprised even myself by getting a 10 out of 10 result - this second one seems impossible at this point. It features some certain qualifiers no matter what and some biggest favorites for victory. Add Finland and my beloved San Marino with the help of Flo Rida, some of it is easy. But the rest? Oh dear..... It will be a lottery I suppose.
Let's start with the easy and obvious: Switzerland, Iceland, Finland, Bulgaria, San Marino, Greece. Those should be easily in. Then I think Serbia, Albania and Portugal will qualify as well.
But then what to think about Austria? He could be a jury vote magnet with that simple staging and powerful vocals and who knows if televoters will feel it, too? And all Philippinos across Europe voting as well. Maybe.
Czech Republic is a fun song and even if he seems to have been less convincing in the rehearsals apparently nailed with last night in jury rehearsal with energy and positive vibes. Who knows?
Denmark as ending the show could bring a smile to many faces and those who didn't yet find their favorite could fall for it and send in a vote.
Estonia, so much disliked by the fandom, could still attract enough votes from casual viewers at home, especially those female ones so he can't be ruled out yet either.
Then we have Moldova. First time hearing it it is fun and quirky and could make it through. We, who have heard it several times know the charm wears off right after third hearing and she may not be the best of performers..... Still, there's a chance.
That basically leaves us only with Poland, Georgia and Latvia out for sure. Poland is boring three minutes on stage with minimal effort and zero charm sadly. Georgia on the contrary has a lot of charm if he nails it and I'd love to see them qualify but I guess it's not going to happen. People just won't have patience enough to get it. Latvia is off putting colors, non existing melody and shouty beats for three minutes, a perfect toilet break.
So, nine down and the one I will pick up after seeing the performances tonight as I still haven't seen them in full. That made me decide easily on Belgium in the first semi-final over Croatia and Ireland and secured my full pot. Croatia just felt cold and distant while Ireland was chaotic and out of breath while Belgium came across hauntingly interesting and beautiful and connected through the screen.
I hope something similar happens tonight between Denmark, Estonia, Czech republic, Moldova and Austria to help me pick up The One.
As known Iceland will be not live but using their second rehearsal video due to positive Covid-19 case in the group. I guess it makes no difference. Australia used a back up take in the first semi, but it always was in the in between zone to make it.
In summa summarum:
San Marino, Greece, Iceland, Serbia, Albania, Portugal, Bulgaria, Finland, Switzerland
and one of these (I'll update after all have performed):
Estonia, Czech Republic, Austria, Moldova, Denmark
UPDATE: I'm torn between Austria and Denmark, the other three didn't feel connected to the audience at home at all. Classy Austria or fun Denmark? I take a risk and go for Denmark
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