The Eurovision song contest 2018 semi-final running orders were out yesterday and since then all blogs and sites have been filled with various analytics and statistics, so here's my totally fact based one on this nonsense speculation.
It has been nicely ten years with the two semi-finals, and nicely five years since the order has been decided by the producers versus the draw, so it gives a valid excuse to do this. In the chart below first you have the running order number, then how many entries performed at that slot have qualified for the final out of how many, and finally that turned into %. And finally, who got those slots this year and therefor should have the biggest chances to qualify...... Yeah right.
Well, this said, it all comes down to the song, the performance in the jury final and the live broadcast. Songs from every slot have qualified, and dropping the draw has made it even more even as seven slots have featured better and seven worse in the post-draw era. Actually the late slots 13, 14, 16, 17 and 18 have all feeatured worse in the last five years without the draw, while mid table 4-12 all (minus 7 ) have done better, with the 15.