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EUROVISION 2026: ODDS VS. SCOREBOARD - WINNERS AND LOSERS

 

Bulgarian odds

There's been a lot of talk about odds being wrong and not seeing the bangaranga effect almost at all, and how last year KAJ was leading the odds all season and finished 4th just like Linda & Pete this year didn't win but finished 6th. On the other hand in the semi-final two odds predicted the ten qualifiers 100%. But how different it the odds vs. final results really were?

The losers

Sweden is the biggest loser dropping a total of 12 places from 8th to 20th. Malta dropped 7 places and favorites Finland and Greece both 5. UK and Cyprus dropped 4 places, another favorite Australia 2 as well as Czechia while France and Germany did pretty much as expected dropping only one place.

The winners

The biggest climber was Poland with 7 places higher than expected followed by Albania 5. Moldova, Ukraine and Belgium climbed 4 places while Romania 3 from 6th to 3rd, another surprise. Norway and Serbia also did 3. The winner Bulgaria climbed 2 from 3rd to 1st. But they reached the rd place in odds the day of the final only. Also Israel climber 2 to 2nd place as did Italy from 7th to 5th, and Denmark did 2, too. Finally Croatia and Lithuania did one place better than odds.

Austria was the only one that placed the same in the last odds and ranking, 24th. 

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