EUROVISION 2024: THE SEMI-FINAL ONE PREDICTION

Oh dear, here it is. The prediction. That has turned a bit trickier now that only televoters are voting in the semi-finals plus this semi-final is very even. I would say we only have 3-5 sure finalists and only two sure non-finalists while all the others are somewhere in there in-between land. The live performance will be crucial and not only, but more than ever how they come across the tv-scree and how they connect with viewers at home. Those about 99,9% of viewers who have no idea what they are about to hear and see. The fandom bubble is a world apart.

I would say the sure finalists are only Ukraine and Croatia. Lithuania and Ireland will pretty surely make it, as well as Finland and Poland. Luxemburg should make it in this semi-final. Australia and Portugal should get enough votes to make it through as well. But then Cyprus might suffer from taking the stage after Eleni Foureira and Chanel, Serbia right after could result just boring and dark and a bit depressing. Slovenia suffers being post-Ireland even if they are totally different kind of witches but I think Ireland takes the battle win here. Azerbaijan, having a staging they have sadly, will probably get lost here and it's a shame as they finally bring us real Azeri poop with Azeri lyrics, too. That leaves us Iceland and Moldova, two songs that are not bad but then again: Who will vote for them? Shame for Hera and Nathalie, both such nice and great artists. With wrong songs and unmemorable stagings.

So, my list for qualifiers is:

LITHUANIA, IRELAND, UKRAINE, POLAND, CROATIA, FINLAND, AUSTRALIA, PORTUGAL, LUXEMBURG ... SERBIA. 8/10

and then one of these: Cyprus, Serbia, Slovenia, Azerbaijan. I need to see the performance and will pick up one before the results and update. (It was a hard choice between Serbia and Slovenia. If someone's out it could be Australia or Poland (correct!). Or Portugal .

If it was for me and my personal liking the qualifiers would be SERBIA, LITHUANIA, IRELAND, UKRAINE, POLAND, CROATIA, FINLAND, AZERBAIJAN, AUSTRALIA and LUXEMBURG. 7/10

Random thoughts during the show:

Serbia was pretty good. Ukraine amazing but how come they were separated for so long? What if Iceland makes it because Hera is just so good and sells it so well? Slovenia was pretty good, too. And what an earth happened in arena during Moldova? All that clapping?! Are both Iceland and Moldova such sure NQs after all? And yes, I do like Azerbaijan but somehow the staging doesn't fit, does it? Portugal, will televoters appreciate it. This could be out after all.... Luxemburg was messy.

There are certainly many visual tricks this year. Like UK and Poland, and those Azeri hands, where did they appear? Luxemburg's AR...

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